Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
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Daily Overview |
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Land Use 5 Location: B010 Session Chair: Xueqin Zhu, Wageningen University | |
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China’s dietary shift and afforestation policies may undermine the feasibility of the 2 °C climate target via emission leakage through trade-induced land-use change 1: Environmental Economics and Natural Resources Group, Wageningen University & Research, Hollandseweg 1, 6706 KN Wageningen, The Netherlands; 2: College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, National Academy of Agriculture Green Development, State Key Laboratory of Nutrient Use and Management, China Agricultural University, 100193 Beijing, China; 3: School of Veterinary Medicine, University of California, Davis, CA95616, United States Shifting to healthier diets and afforestation are regarded as effective measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and enhance carbon sequestration. However, through global food supply chains, cross-border environmental spillovers of China’s dietary shift and afforestation policies remain poorly quantified. Using an integrated environmental-economic model, we found that China’s dietary shift towards lower meat and higher dairy consumption may induce 14 Mha of additional agricultural land use abroad and cause 364 Tg CO₂-eq of emission leakage, almost four times its domestic mitigation. Similarly, China’s afforestation policy may displace food production abroad, resulting in 16 Mha of additional agricultural land use abroad and 424 Tg CO₂-eq of emission leakage, exceeding its domestic mitigation. Such leakage may undermine the feasibility of the 2 °C climate target and demand more stringent mitigation in non-agricultural sectors. Our study highlights that the combination of various mitigation measures needs careful design to reduce negative spillovers while supporting global food security and environmental sustainability. | |