Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 24th Aug 2026, 01:53:38am WEST
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Daily Overview |
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Climate Change Adaptation 1 Location: B004 Session Chair: Uchechukwu Jarrett, University of Nebraska-Lincoln | |
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On-Farm Experimentation for Climate Change Adaptation: How the Underconfident Get Trapped 1: University of Saskatchewan; 2: Africa Rice Center; 3: Institut d'Économie Rurale; 4: Heidelberg University; 5: ZEW-Mannheim We study how confidence bias affects investment in learning via experimentation, a mechanism critical for climate change adaptation. We hypothesize that bias direction and strength predict how willingness to experiment diverges from unbiased agents. We measure revealed and stated demand for experimenting with drought-resistant crop varieties of 1,957 farmers in West Africa, a climate change hotspot. Consistent with our hypothesis, confidence bias strongly predicts willingness to experiment. The effect, however, is driven exclusively by underconfident agents, among whom females are overrepresented. In deteriorating environments, this behavioral friction undercuts effective technology diffusion and risks trapping individuals in maladapted production environments. | |