Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
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Thematic Session: Media, Policy Issues, and Efficacy Amid Floods (Streaming) Location: B134 Session Chair: Maria L. Loureiro, Univgersity Santiago de Compostela Session Chair: Valerie Mueller, Arizona State University | |
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Partisan differences in natural hazard risk: Evidence from registered voters in Florida 1: University of Guelph, Canada; 2: University of Miami, USA; 3: University of Florida, USA Efficient adaptation to climate change requires the spatial sorting of the population away from high-exposure zones. We investigate whether political polarization introduces frictions into this sorting process, leading to maladaptation. Using a novel panel of 13 million registered voters in Florida (2022–2024), we document a widening partisan gap in exposure to flood and hurricane risk. We find that this divergence is fueled by asymmetric adaptation: voters who switch from Republican to Democrat move to census tracts with significantly lower expected annual losses, whereas those switching from Democrat to Republican exhibit much smaller elasticity with respect to risk. These patterns hold even for inland and riverine flood risks, suggesting that the sorting is not driven solely by coastal amenities. The results point to a "separating equilibrium" where high-risk areas become increasingly politically homogeneous, complicating the political economy of disaster relief and insurance reform. | |