Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
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Daily Overview |
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Land Use 3: Food and Agriculture Location: B010 Session Chair: Lisa Kristin Murken, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | |
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Agricultural land potential and conflict in sub-Saharan Africa 1: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany; 2: University of Twente, Netherlands; 3: University of Kassel, Germany We examine the relationship between agricultural land potential and conflict across Sub- Saharan Africa, where such conflicts are widespread. To address endogeneity, we construct a plausibly exogenous, crop-specific indicator of agricultural land potential based on a weather- driven crop suitability model. The indicator leverages variation in weather and soil conditions to capture changes in crop-growing potential. Using a 0.1° grid-cell dataset covering the period 1997–2023 and conflict data from ACLED, we focus on overall crop and climate suitability for 50 crops grown across Africa. We find that long-term increases in agricultural land potential are associated with increases in conflict within countries. By using crop-specific, weather- based suitability measures rather than realized production, we provide new evidence on the climate–agriculture–conflict nexus. | |