Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 24th Aug 2026, 01:51:13am WEST
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Daily Overview |
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Thematic Session: New Empirical Evidence on Forest Conservation (Streaming) Location: B009 Session Chair: David Wuepper, University of Bonn | |
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Evaluating Deforestation Baselines for Voluntary Carbon Credits in Protected Areas of Sub-Saharan Africa Institute for Food and Resource Economics, University of Bonn, Germany Credibility concerns about the Verified Carbon Standard (VCS), amplified by recent causal evaluations and market fallout, have raised doubts about REDD+ carbon crediting. In response, Verra introduced a new jurisdictional baseline methodology to address past methodological issues. We evaluate this approach by comparing two consecutive six-year jurisdictional baselines with Synthetic Control counterfactuals and a preceding project-level methodology, using forest-loss data (2001-2023) for four protected areas in Sub-Saharan Africa. The jurisdictional approach performs closer to the Synthetic Control than its predecessor, yet the majority of baselines did not closely track it, with estimates varying across sites and periods. Our findings suggest that baseline reliability remains sensitive to the definition of reference region and risk model specification, warranting further rigorous evaluation. | |