Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
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Daily Overview |
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Climate Change Adaptation: Natural Disasters 2 Location: B003 Session Chair: Lucas Kaplan, Syracuse University | |
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Should We Flee? The Mortality and Economic Impacts of Hurricane Evacuation Orders Syracuse University, United States of America I estimate the mortality and county-level regional economic impacts of hurricane evacuation orders using a novel instrumental variables framework. Relative to similarly affected but non-evacuated areas, evacuated counties experience fewer deaths but lower personal income, employment, and business establishments for at least one year following the storm, likely stemming from delayed returns by in wealthier neighborhoods. I then develop a threshold decision rule that balances the mortality benefits against these persistent economic costs and apply this framework to orders issued from 2014–2022. Incorporating these persistent economic costs drastically alters policy evaluation: about a quarter of recent evacuation orders remain justified under this framework, compared to 56 percent when evaluating mortality benefits alone. | |