Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
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Daily Overview |
| Session | |
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Egg-Timer: Energy Transition and Technology Adoption Location: D-110 Session Chair: Graham Macklin, Toulouse School of Economics | |
| Presentation 6 | |
Ultra-High-Voltage Interregional Transmission, Renewable Energy Stability, and Spillover Effects on Climate Adaptation 1: China University of Petroleum (Beijing), China, People's Republic of; 2: University of Rhode Island; 3: Capital University of Economics and Business; 4: Shanghai University of Finance and Economics Climate change is making extreme heat more frequent, and coastal load centers increasingly rely on imported power to meet cooling demand. Using a county–day panel for Zhejiang and Jiangsu linked to temperature, rainfall-deviation, and biweekly drought index (Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index, SPEI) measures for the inland, power-supplying provinces, we test whether electricity use on very hot days is fully demand-driven. We first estimate a flexible temperature–electricity curve and confirm a steep rise in consumption above 28°C, especially above 32°C. We then show that this expected surge is noticeably smaller when the exporting provinces are themselves hot and dry: upstream climate stress weakens the local heat response even though local temperatures are high. This attenuation accounts for up to 50% of the local heat-induced electricity increase. This pattern is robust to alternative heat indicators, to 3–60 day rainfall deficits, and to SPEI weighted by upstream counties. Evidence on local thermal generation indicates that coastal provinces do ramp local supply, but not enough to remove the constraint. Thus the insurance value of long-distance (UHV) transmission is climate-dependent, and heat-wave planning must allow for simultaneous inland scarcity. | |

