Conference Agenda
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Daily Overview |
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International Agreements Location: D-104 Session Chair: Sarah Spycher, ETH Zurich | |
| Presentation 1 | |
From Domestic Pressure To Linking Climate Coalitions KU Leuven, Belgium This paper explores climate negotiations among politicians, focusing on how politicians' short-term outlook or overoptimistic view influence coalition formation. Such characteristics of politicians are sources of domestic polarisation with legislators, representing mindset of future generations who implement climate policies of signatories. By modelling coalition formation as a sequential bargaining game among politicians who take into account the consequences of their membership decisions on other countries, the paper examines how the resulted domestic pressure between politicians and legislators can shape coalitional outcomes. When accounting for the domestic polarisation, we show that politicians can only form smaller, less ambitious coalitions. However, we introduce a potential for broader cooperation where the politicians can agree on formation of overarching agreements where equal-sized coalitions of countries are linked with each other. Both domestic pressure and possibility of proposing overarching agreements are needed for achieve Pareto-improving outcomes. We introduce an algorithm to fully characterise the equilibrium coalitional structures. | |

