JavaScript is Disabled
Your browser's JavaScript functionality is disabled. It has to be enabled to use this function of ConfTool.
Here you can find information on how to enable JavaScript
If you have any problems, please contact the organizers at programme@wcere2026.org.

Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 24th Aug 2026, 01:49:29am WEST

External resources will be made available 30 min before a session starts. You may have to reload the page to access the resources.

Daily Overview

Session

Land Use 4
Location: B010
Session Chair: Elizabeth Yoder, Duke University

Presentation 1

Natural Resources Availability Could Limit Adaptive Capacity in One-Fourth of Global Crop-Producing Areas (Under revision in One Earth)

Edna Johanna Molina Bacca^1,2, Miodrag Stevanović¹, Benjamin Leon Bodirsky¹, Patrick von Jeetze^1,2, Felicitas Beier^1,2, Nele Gloy^1,3, Kristine Karstens^1,2, Bianca Biess⁴, Michael Windisch⁴, Jens Heinke¹, Jan Philipp Dietrich¹, Hermann Lotze-Campen¹, Alexander Popp^1,3

1: Climate Resilience Research Department. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Brandenburg, Germany; 2: Albrecht Daniel Thaer-Institut für Agrar- und Gartenbauwissenschaften, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin (HU), Berlin, Germany; 3: Faculty of Organic Agricultural Sciences, University of Kassel, Witzenhausen, Hessen, Germany; 4: Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zürich, Switzerland

Discussant: Seong-Hoon Cho (University of Tennessee, Knoxville)

Natural resources—land, water, soils, and natural vegetation—are essential for sustaining crop production and enabling climate change adaptation. Yet their role as a dimension of food systems’ adaptive capacity remains underexplored. Using the global land-use model MAgPIE, we assess current and future resource availability across global crop-producing regions under three socioeconomic and climate scenarios. Currently, about 23% of cropland faces low resource availability due to land and water overexploitation, with hotspots in North Africa and Afghanistan. Projections show widespread resource declines across all scenarios, especially in South America, India, and Sub-Saharan Africa, driven by cropland expansion and intensification. These findings highlight the need to integrate sustainability and resilience into agricultural development.