Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
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Daily Overview |
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Egg-Timer: Natural Resource Management Location: D-111 Session Chair: Luigi Reatti, Università di Firenze | |
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Forest and carbon dynamics under perfect and imperfect anticipation of forest fire risk inrae Forests are critical for climate mitigation and biodiversity, yet their management is increasingly threatened by intensifying natural disturbances due to climate change, par- ticularly forest fires. Anticipating and adapting to these future risks is essential for sustainable forest management. This study uses a simple theoretical model of forest transition and management, to examine how ex ante and ex post adaptation strategies, implemented through land conversion and harvest policies, affect forest management decisions and carbon storage under forest fire risk. Incorporating risk considerations leads to more cautious strategies that reduce short-term economic returns but enhance gains in the long-term. Compared to ex post policies, ex ante adaptation yields globally higher economic and carbon storage benefits in terms of net present value. Regardless of damage severity, early adaptation significantly reduces negative effects on both welfare and carbon storage, highlighting the value of timely risk responses. These findings highlight the importance of adaptive forest management in responding to climate-related disturbances. | |