Location: B008
According to IEA-EDGAR CO2 data released in 2025, Asia’s share of global CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion substantially increased from 25% in 1990 to 53% in 2024. While emissions in EU27 countries rose by approximately 1.7 times over the same period, emissions in Asian countries increased by about 3.8 times due to rapid economic growth driven by energy-intensive industrialisation and a continued heavy reliance on fossil fuels. Given Asia’s dominant and growing contribution to global carbon emissions, achieving global net-zero targets will be unattainable without substantial and sustained mitigation efforts in Asia.\n \nThe surge in fossil fuel consumption and associated carbon emissions has generated significant environmental and political pressures, which collectively prompted governments to recognise the necessity of transitioning toward low-carbon development pathways. Environmental problems, notably air pollution, became increasingly visible and difficult to ignore. Moreover, as global temperatures rise, the region has experienced more severe and frequent extreme weather events that inflicted serious socioeconomic damage, underscoring Asia’s vulnerability to climate change. At the same time, as Asia emerged as the largest contributor to global carbon emissions, high-emitting countries in the region faced growing international pressure to abate emissions and avoid repeating the high-pollution development trajectories taken by earlier industrialised regions.\n \nConsequently, most Asian countries have articulated climate commitments through nationally determined contributions (NDCs) and net-zero pledges, and have established a range of policies to support these climate targets and facilitate the transition to low-carbon economies. They have also repeatedly updated the emissions reduction targets and policies to make them more ambitious. However, implementation gaps, defined as the divergence between a country’s target emissions and the actual emissions under current policies, remain prevalent across the region. Despite increasingly ambitious commitments, the translation of pledges into tangible progress has often been slow. Shortcomings in legislative action, policy enforcement, technology deployment, and financial investment have limited actual emissions reductions, resulting in outcomes that fall short of NDC targets or even increases in emissions.\n \nGiven that many Asian countries are emerging or developing economies, concerns over economic growth constitute the primary driver of the implementation gap and a major obstacle to the low-carbon transition, alongside other constraints, such as limited technological and institutional capacity, political conflicts, and policy instability. That is, governments may be reluctant to adopt more stringent low-carbon policies, as they fear that economy-wide, fundamental and rapid transitions would threaten their fossil fuel-based economic structure and cause considerable economic losses. However, the continued expansion of carbon-intensive infrastructure creates long-term carbon lock-in, whereby increasing dependence on high-emission technologies makes future transitions significantly more costly. Besides, recent regulatory trends in global trade, such as the carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) and emissions standards, indicate that carbon-intensive export-oriented economies may face declining competitiveness in international markets. Thus, Asian countries are required to reduce the carbon emissions of their products to maintain market access and attract investment. Furthermore, a low-carbon transition could contribute to lowering macroeconomic risks for some Asian countries susceptible to price volatility in imported fossil fuels by enhancing energy security. Low-carbon energy sources, particularly renewable energy, offer a more stable and domestically available alternative, thereby reducing dependence on imports and stabilising energy prices.\n \nIn conclusion, a low-carbon transition is essential to achieving a sustainable economy in Asia, as it could enable continued growth while mitigating climate-related risks and strengthening energy security. For Asian countries, the transition to low-carbon development represents not only an environmental imperative but also a strategic pathway to ensure long-term economic resilience and sustainability. Therefore, governments are expected to assess the current implementation gaps and improve or redesign low-carbon policies to make them more ambitious and deliver more effective decarbonisation outcomes.\n \nAgainst this backdrop, this session will take a deep dive into Asian countries’ progress in the low-carbon transition. In particular, the session participants will discuss:\n \n(a) The gaps between current mitigation efforts and net-zero pathways;\n(b) The challenges that cause these gaps;\n(c) Low-carbon transition and sustainable economy (in terms of economic growth and energy security);\n(d) Internal and external factors influencing low-carbon transition;\n(e) Possible policies and regional and international cooperation to support Asian countries’ low-carbon transition.