1:00pm - 1:20pmPower, influence and integra1on: Mapping Chile’s Central Bank policy network through an event-based approach (2018-2024)
Ignacio Schiappacasse1, Naim Bro2, Matías Gómez1, Alberto Anrique1, Roberto Araya2, Ismael Puga1
1Universidad de Central de Chile, Chile; 2Universidad Adolfo Ibañez, Chile
Like other state agencies, the Central Bank of Chile (CBoC) operates not only under formal rules but also within social relationships that permeate elite circles. Granovetter (1985) refers to this issue as the problem of embeddedness: economic actors are embedded in concrete social structures, which might determine their decisions. Accordingly, we should expect various social groups to seek to influence the CBoC’s decision-making. Despite this, there is a striking dearth in the literature regarding the power dynamics in which the CBoC is embedded. Little is known about the precise nature of the relationship between the CBoC and different actors with interests in its policy decisions. This study addresses this issue by implementing a novel methodological approach that combines relational and event-based strategies to reconstruct an elite network. We identified individuals who have participated in social events covered in the “society pages” of El Mercurio, the daily newspaper widely regarded as the voice of Chile’s most influential sectors. Applying an automated data extraction method, we collected data from El Mercurio’s digital edition. This research strategy allowed us to identify individuals featured in photographs along with their names and occupations. Based on this data, we reconstructed the web of ties and connections that constitute the CBoC policy network. This paper thus provides new insights into the structural underpinnings of the network in which the CBoC is embedded. We show how central characteristics -such as kinship ties and educational backgrounds- shape patterns of integration of the CBoC board within Chile’s economic elite.
1:20pm - 1:40pmNetworks and Contingency in Hybrid Regimes: Understanding Party Defections and Coalitions during Georgia’s Colored Revolution
Julie George1, Franziska Barbara Keller2, Scott Radnitz3
1Queens College and The Graduate Center, City University of New York; 2University of Bern, Switzerland; 3University of Washington, Seattle
What factors best explain how political leaders decide to defect or stay with fading ruling parties in hybrid regimes? This paper applies network analysis to understand the dynamics of ruling party breakdown in hybrid regimes. Whereas previous work on party collapse has looked at coordination dynamics and defection processes, this paper expands this approach by integrating social network analysis to study in depth a single case of party collapse in post-Soviet Georgia – the ruling “Citizen’s Union of Georgia” (CUG) before and during the Rose Revolution in 2003. Relying on an extensive new database with the careers of all members of the Georgian parliament, we construct a network based on whether MPs have worked in the same location in the past. We find that the main leaders of the two camps – Eduard Shevardnadze and Mikheil Saakashvili – are not the most degree central figures in this network. In fact, Saakashvili, having spent most of his career elsewhere, has no connections to speak of. Instead, it is grey eminence Zurab Zhvania who emerges as one of the best-connected among potential leaders. Despite fine-grained temporal data on when individual CUG members decided to abandon the faction, we also find little evidence for cascading effects in a diffusion model. Direct connections to Shevardnadze also don’t have any statistically significant effect on willingness to defect – but connections to Zhvania make a defection more likely. At the same time, none of the network measures or connections appear to explain why MPs would join the opposition factions. Information from semi-structured interviews with the actors involved confirm the importance of Zurab Zhvania as a king-maker, but also shed light on why he was not a viable patron, like Shevardnadze, and could not become a leader of the opposition, like Mikheil Saakashvili. Both his ethnic background and rumors about his sexual orientation made him a non-starter as electoral candidate and thus also not an appealing patron to form an alternative faction. But it still allowed him to orchestrate a process of withdrawing support from the current, but weakening patron, Shevardnadze. Our study’s mixed methods approach – combining a contagion model that relies on the collection of extensive background information to construct social networks among all MPs with in-depth semi-structured interviews with the actors involved – allows us to paint a more complete picture of the elite politics leading up to and accompanying one of the central cases in the last wave of democratization.
1:40pm - 2:00pmOverlapping social circles in historical elite career networks: Using ‘k-circles’ as a minimal members decomposition approach
Anton Grau Larsen, Christoph Houman Ellersgaard, Jacob Aagaard Lunding
Copenhagen Business School, Denmark
Studies of elites have long looked at network interlocks and career pathways. However, the link between these, the set of organizations through which elites accumulate the capital that lifts elites into the upper echelons of power and prestige - needs a common framework. In this paper, we propose to use biographies of elites to map the organizational overlap in CVs. In doing so, we show how it is possible to simultaneously identify the set of key organizations for the formation of elites and the set of elite individuals integrated by these organizations. By using Breiger’s (1974) notion of the duality of persons and groups in two-mode affiliation networks, we expand and change existing methods for elite identification (Larsen and Ellersgaard 2017) to career networks.
We discuss how the CV can be used as a data source and propose analytical techniques and measures, the k-circles, that take their heterogeneity and incompleteness into account. We demonstrate that these measures are uniquely robust to systematic biases in missing data and omissions. We argue that a relational measure of centrality based on this, k-score, can identify key organizations and individuals that are close to the concept of the overlapping circles of power as conceptualised by C.W. Mills (1956). Using data from the Danish version of Who’s Who, we then show that biographical data using the k-circles measures can allow us to identify a cross-sectional ‘elite within the elite’ on a year-to-year basis between 1910 and 2020. This elite is shown to be similar to an elite identified through contemporary affiliation network data, albeit with higher levels of the most inheritable form of capital, economic capital. We discuss how data on career networks based on biographical data to a larger extent than affiliation network analysis of current positions enables us to identify the key institutions for capital accumulation and mutual self-affirmation of status across this cross-sectorial elite.
We conclude the paper by discussing how k-circles can be applied to other two-mode networks enabling scholars to identify core groups of both individuals and organisations at the same time. Furthermore, we show the potential in the analysis of elites and key organisations by showing the historical changes for key elite individuals and the changing organizational landscape of the Danish corporate elite between 1910-2020. In doing so, we discuss the extent in which the k-circle measure provides a analytical framework capable of measuring changing elite dynamics in a uniform way across quite varied historical epochs and heterogeneous biographical records and suggest future possible applications for k-circles in the study of the duality of persons and groups.
2:00pm - 2:20pmThe precious networks of the rich: How the wealthiest prevent progressive tax reforms.
Ben Rosche1, Alison Schultz2, Yufang Sun3, Martí Medina Hernandez4
1Princeton University; 2Tax Justice Network; 3Mannheim University; 4Central European University
The U.S. currently has the least progressive tax system in its history, allowing wealth to concentrate at the top while limiting resources available for public investment. This presents a paradox: despite public support for progressive taxation, such reforms consistently fail to pass in Congress. Research has identified two primary obstacles to progressive tax reform: institutional inertia favoring the status quo and strong political opposition from wealthy individuals (Page and Seawright 2023). The vast majority of multi-millionaires and billionaires oppose higher taxes on the wealthy, and empirical studies show that political outcomes disproportionately align with their preferences rather than those of the broader electorate (Gilens 2005, 2014). However, the precise mechanisms through which the ultra-wealthy exert their influence over tax policy remain poorly understood.
This study investigates one potential avenue of influence: the social and institutional connections between the ultra-rich and members of the U.S. Congress. We hypothesize that legislators who share educational backgrounds with billionaires—attending the same universities and programs during overlapping time periods—are more likely to oppose progressive tax policies. These connections may facilitate informal networks of influence, shaping political attitudes and decision-making in ways that privilege elite interests.
To test this hypothesis, we compile a novel dataset that maps the educational trajectories of U.S. Congress members and billionaires using publicly available records from the official Congress website and Forbes magazine. We identify overlap in higher education institutions, academic programs, and graduation years to construct measures of social exposure to the ultra-wealthy. Using roll-call votes on tax-related legislation as an outcome variable, we examine whether legislators with greater exposure to billionaires are systematically more likely to vote against progressive tax reforms. Our analysis controls for key confounders, including party affiliation, age, personal wealth, and university prestige, to isolate the effect of elite social ties.
Preliminary results indicate that legislators with stronger educational linkages to billionaires are significantly more likely to oppose progressive tax policies compared to their peers with weaker or no such ties. This finding provides quantitative evidence that elite networks serve as a conduit for economic influence, potentially undermining efforts to implement policies aimed at reducing wealth inequality. By shedding light on this underexplored mechanism, our study contributes to a broader understanding of how economic elites maintain their privileged positions through social and institutional channels.
These findings have important implications for both scholarship and policy. They suggest that addressing economic inequality requires not only institutional reforms but also greater transparency regarding the social networks that shape political decision-making. Future research could expand on this work by examining other forms of elite connectivity—such as shared board memberships, professional affiliations, and philanthropic networks—as additional pathways through which the wealthy influence tax policy.
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