Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

 
 
Session Overview
Session
TB3 - HC14: Operations control in healthcare
Time:
Tuesday, 28/June/2022:
TB 10:30-12:00

Session Chair: Pengyi Shi
Location: Forum 7


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Presentations

Skills-based routing under demand surges: the value of future arrival rates

Jinsheng Chen1, Jing Dong2, Pengyi Shi3

1Industrial Engineering and Operations Research, Columbia University, USA; 2Decision, Risk, and Operations, Columbia University, USA; 3Krannert School of Management, Purdue University, USA

Motivated by recent development in predictive analytics, we study how to utilize future demand information to design optimal routing strategies when facing demand surges. We consider a multi-class multi-pool parallel server system with partial flexibility, where overflowing a customer to a non-primary server-pool can be associated with efficiency loss and other costs. Our results explicitly characterize how to incorporate future demand into routing decisions and quantify the benefit of doing so.



Steady-state performance approximations of many-server queueing networks

Anton Braverman, Wenhao Gu, Pengyi Shi

Northwestern University, United States of America

Motivated by the need for decision support tools for workload prediction and capacity planning in hospitals under the COVID-19 pandemic, we consider a queueing network consisting of two many-server stations, which models the flow of patients between medical/surgical and intensive care unit wards. We approximate the steady-state customer count using the stationary distribution of the associated diffusion model, which can be computed efficiently and be used as a real-time decision support tool.



Patient census calibration for hospital networks operating in a random environment

Qianli Xu, Pengyi Shi, Harsha Honnappa

Purdue University, United States of America

Motivated by the challenges in census prediction in data-driven settings for hospital resource management, this paper introduces and studies the patient census calibration problem for hospital networks operating in a random environment. We use the expectation-maximization method to efficiently solve the calibration problem. We present simulation results that demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the method, and theoretical analyses that provide large-sample statistical guarantees/



 
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