Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Session Overview
Contributed session on prediction models
Thursday, 10/Dec/2020:
3:45pm - 5:30pm

Session Chair: Laure Wynants

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3:45pm - 4:00pm

Minimum sample size for external validation of a clinical prediction model with a continuous outcome

Lucinda Archer1, Kym Snell1, Joie Ensor1, Mohammed Hudda2, Gary Collins3, Richard Riley1

1Centre for Prognosis Research, School of Medicine. Keele University, Staffordshire. ST5 5BG; 2Population Health Research Institute, St George’s, University of London, London, UK. SW17 0RE; 3Centre for Statistics in Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. OX3 7LD


4:00pm - 4:15pm

A systematic review of clinical prediction models developed using machine learning methods in Oncology

Paula Dhiman1, Jie Ma1, Benjamin Speich1, Garrett Bullock2, Constanza Andaur-Navarro3, Shona Kirtley1, Ben Van Calster4, Richard Riley5, Karel Moons3, Gary Collins1

1Centre for Statistics in Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; 2Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; 3Julius Center, UMC Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands; 4Department of Development and Regeneration, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium; 5School of Primary, Community and Social Care, University of Keele, Keele, UK


4:15pm - 4:30pm

Causal interpretation of clinical prediction models: When, why and how

Matthew Sperrin, Lijing Lin, David Jenkins, Niels Peek

Health e-Research Centre, Division of Informatics, Imaging and Data Science, University of Manchester


4:30pm - 4:45pm

Risk prediction with discrete ordinal outcomes; calibration and the impact of the proportional odds assumption

Michael Edlinger1,2, Maarten van Smeden3,4, Hannes F Alber5,6, Ewout W Steyerberg4, Ben Van Calster1,4

1KU Leuven, Belgium; 2Medical University Innsbruck, Austria; 3University Medical Centre Utrecht, the Netherlands; 4Leiden University Medical Centre, the Netherlands; 5Klinikum Klagenfurt, Austria; 6Rehabilitation Centre Münster, Austria


4:45pm - 5:00pm

Recovering the full equation of an incompletely reported logistic regression model

Toshihiko Takada, Chris van Lieshout, Jeroen Hoogland, Ewoud Schuit, Johanes B Reitsma

Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht


5:00pm - 5:15pm

AI phone apps for skin cancer: Reviewing the evidence, regulations, marketing, plus what happened next

Jon Deeks1,2, Jac Dinnes1,2, Karoline Freeman1,3, Naomi Chuchu1,4, Sue Bayliss1, Rubeta Matin5, Abhilash Jain6,7, Yemisi Takwongi1,2, Fiona Walter8, Hywel Williams9

1Test Evaluation Research Group, University of Birmingham, United Kingdom; 2NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust and University of Birmingham, Birmingham UK; 3Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK; 4London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London UK; 5Department of Dermatology, Churchill Hospital, Oxford UK; 6Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford UK; 7Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, St Mary's Hospital, London UK; 8Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge UK; 9Centre for Evidence Based Dermatology, University of Nottingham, Nottingham UK.


5:15pm - 5:30pm

TRIPOD-CLUSTER: reporting of prediction model studies in IPD-MA, EHR and other clustered datasets

Thomas Debray1, Gary Collins4, Richard Riley2, Kym Snell2, Ben van Calster3, Doug Altman4, Johannes Reitsma1, Karel Moons1

1University Medical Center Utrecht, the Netherlands; 2Keele University, Keele, the United Kingdom; 3K U Leuven, Leuven, Belgium; 4University of Oxford, Oxford, the United Kingdom


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