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Modeling of Precipitation and Temperature Parameters in Cerro De Hula, Honduras: Implications on Climate Change
Osman Joel Avilez Vasquez1, Alberto Cristobal Martínez Almedares2
1: Universidad Tecnológica de Honduras (HN), Honduras; 2: Universidad Tecnológica de Honduras (HN), Honduras
The research article was developed based on the modeling of precipitation and temperature parameters. The data were obtained through the installation of a Taylor rain gauge for precipitation measurement and satellite-based temperature monitoring using the AccuWeather Software Cerro de Hula is located between the municipalities of Santa Ana and San Buenaventura, approximately 15 kilometers south of Tegucigalpa. This area is characterized by a high diversity of flora and fauna, positioning itself as an area of environmental importance for the inhabitants. The area is characterized by a wide diversity of flora and fauna, which positions it as an environmentally significant area for surrounding communities. The general objective of the research was to model precipitation and temperature parameters in Cerro de Hula, Honduras, and to analyze their possible implications in the context of climate change. Specifically, the study aimed to calculate accumulated precipitation during the observed period, identify the maximum recorded precipitation and the days with the highest and lowest precipitation, determine the degree of correlation between the variables, and generate mathematical models of accumulated precipitation and minimum, mean and maximum temperature. The research was theoretically grounded in climate and climate change theories and adopted a quantitative methodological approach, using a non-experimental field method and a correlational research design. Primary and secondary research sources were used, along with a finite population and a probabilistic sample. The observation technique was employed, supported by a data recording logbook for data analysis, discussion of results, and formulation of final conclusions.
