Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 24th Aug 2026, 05:33:02am America, Santiago
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Daily Overview |
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51C: Green Engineering Location: Room 04: Atlantico | |
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8:54am - 9:06am
Ensemble modeling of Begonia octopetala in the coastal hills of Peru to 2065 Universidad Peruana de Ciencias Aplicadas - (PE), Peru This research synthesizes the assessment of the climate impact on the endemic species Begonia octopetala in the coastal hills ecosystem of Peru up to 2065 using ensemble modeling, which combines machine learning and statistical algorithms (Maxent, Random Forest, BioClim0, and GLM). The model was fed with CMIP6 bioclimatic variables to project habitat suitability under Shared Socioeconomic Trajectories (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). The results reveal a critical loss of suitability under the pessimistic scenario (SSP5), projecting the total disappearance of suitable habitat by 2065. Only the SSP1 scenario shows the persistence of suitable microclimates, albeit with severe fragmentation. These findings quantify the species' vulnerability to radiative forcing and underscore the need to implement adaptive conservation strategies based on identified climate refugia | |