Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference.
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Presenters should speak for no more than 20 minutes, and discussants should limit their remarks to no more than 5 minutes. The remaining time should be reserved for audience questions and the presenter’s responses. We suggest following these guidelines also in the (less common) 3-paper sessions in a 2-hour slot, to allow participants to move between sessions. Discussants are encouraged to avoid summarizing the paper. By focusing on a few questions and comments, the discussants can help start a broader discussion with the audience.
Only registered participants can attend this conference. Further information available on the congress website https://www.iseg.ulisboa.pt/en/event/iipf/ .
Venue address: ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics & Management, R. Francesinhas 21, 1200-675 Lisboa, Portugal
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 18th July 2026, 02:41:28am WEST
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Daily Overview |
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D15: Macroeconomic Policy in Open and Transforming Economies
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Fiscal Devaluation, Innovation, And Household Welfare In An Open Economy Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences, China, People's Republic of Fiscal devaluation has often been the focus of policy discussion within the eurozone as it provides a means by which southern European countries can regain competitiveness. It takes the form of a subsidy on labour, financed by taxing consumption. This paper discusses the effects of fiscal devaluation on the main macroeconomic variables in a two-country model with monopolistic competition, innovation, endogenous entry, and endogenous tradability. I found that trade balance can only be improved in a highly competitive market, but fiscal devaluation also causes utility to decrease in the country that implements it. Fiscal devaluation can be a prosper-thy-neighbor policy, regardless of the market structures and the productivity level of the economies. Comparing fiscal devaluation with more targeted subsidies, I find that only subsidizing labour in the innovation sector can lead to similar outcomes, while only subsidizing producing labour may cause a decrease in consumption and utility.
Monetary Policy Insulation from Global Financial Shocks in India: Evidence on Foreign Exchange Intervention, Macroprudential Policy, and Fiscal Support national institute of public finance and policy, India This paper examines transmission of global financial shocks to domestic interest rates in India using a state-dependent local projection framework. Results show that external shocks exert statistically significant and persistent effects on both policy rates and short-term money market rates, though strength of transmission varies across policy regimes. Foreign exchange intervention (FXI) provides partial insulation by dampening the persistence of shocks over time, particularly under strict intervention regimes. The findings also reveal important differences across instruments: under strict FXI, policy rates remain relatively insulated while money market rates adjust gradually through liquidity conditions; under light FXI, both rates respond more strongly and persistently. Importantly, the joint use of macroprudential policies and FXI can substantially neutralize the transmission of U.S. monetary policy shocks. The paper further finds that stronger fiscal support is associated with greater short-run insulation from external tightening, highlighting the complementary role of fiscal policy in stabilizing domestic financial conditions.
Urbanization, Productivity Differences and Spatial Frictions 1ESADE, Spain; 2Indiana University; 3CESIFO This paper examines urbanization in a multi-sector economy with productivity differences and trade frictions. Location-specific non-traded goods imply decentralized outcomes are not in general socially optimal, even without typical externalities, like congestion or agglomeration. Optimal urbanization exceeds decentralized levels when productivity differences in non-traded goods are small, a case typical of developed economies, while developing countries tend to be overurbanized. A model calibrated to Brazilian data shows wedges remain quantitatively important in the presence of agglomeration and congestion effects. Urban-biased policies are closer to optimal outcomes when productivity gaps are extreme but may worsen urbanization distortions at intermediate productivity levels.
Taxing the Untaxed? Long-Run Effects of India’s 2016 Demonetization on Tax Revenue 1Feng Chia University, Taiwan; 2Asian Growth Research Institute, Japan We evaluate whether India’s 2016 demonetization generated lasting improvements in tax compliance. Using the synthetic control method and cross-country panel data from 2005–2022, we find a statistically significant and persistent increase in sales and production tax revenues, which directly reflect recorded transactions in a cash-intensive economy, following demonetization. To assess whether this increase reflects improved tax compliance, rather than contemporaneous policy changes that altered the structure of indirect taxation, we examine income- and profit-based taxation as a falsification test and find no comparable long-run change. Moreover, cash usage declined and digital payments increased in 2016–2017, but both reverted to pre-demonetization trends thereafter, with no evidence of a decline in the size of the informal economy. Thus, demonetization itself did not generate durable improvements in tax compliance.
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