Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference.

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Venue address: United States International University Africa, USIU Road, Off Thika Road (Exit 7, Kenya), P.O. Box 14634, 00800 Nairobi, Kenya

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 9th Oct 2025, 03:34:11am EAT

 
 
Session Overview
Session
G05: Pension and Labor
Time:
Friday, 22/Aug/2025:
2:15pm - 4:15pm

Session Chair: Heidi Karjalainen, Institute for Fiscal Studies
Discussant 1: Kathleen McKiernan, Vanderbilt University
Discussant 2: Tomoaki Tanaka, Queen Mary University of London
Discussant 3: Heidi Karjalainen, Institute for Fiscal Studies
Discussant 4: Junya Hamaaki, Hosei University
Location: SS8


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Presentations

Loss of Marital Gains from the Division of Labor and Divorce: Evidence from a Pension Reform in Japan

Junya Hamaaki1, Yoshitomo Ogawa2

1Hosei University, Japan; 2Kwansei Gakuin University, Japan

We examine the impact of Japan's pension reform on divorce. In typical Japanese couples, spouses enjoy marital gains from the division of labor, not only during their younger years but also into old age, with the primary earner generating income through pension benefits and the dependent spouse contributing through household work. The reform allowed dependent spouses to claim half of the primary earner's pension contributions during the marriage upon divorce. Thus, dependent spouses could secure these gains without maintaining marital relationships. Using the reform as a natural experiment, we test the hypothesis that the reduction in marital gains increased the likelihood of divorce. Our analysis reveals that among couples experiencing the largest reduction in these gains, divorce incidents rose by 10 to 20% in a few years after the reform. This finding highlights the importance of marital gains from the division of labor in shaping divorce decisions.

Hamaaki-Loss of Marital Gains from the Division of Labor and Divorce-170.pdf


Labor Market Sorting and Public Pensions in Developing Countries

Han Gao2, Kathleen McKiernan1

1Vanderbilt University, United States of America; 2University of New South Wales, Australia

We use a life-cycle labor search model in which firms post contracts specifying job formality and wages calibrated to match key aspects of the Brazilian labor market to study two sets of pension reforms --- reforms which change the share of pension contributions paid by the firm and reforms which change the pension contribution tax base. We find that fixing the total per worker pension contribution rate but increasing the share paid by the firm leads to less vacancy posting, a higher non-employment rate, and a lower labor share. On the other hand, reforms which weaken the linkage between formality and public pension contributions by changing the pension tax base lead to an increase in aggregate vacancies and the formality share. The results highlight the importance of firm responses in policy reforms in developing countries.

Gao-Labor Market Sorting and Public Pensions in Developing Countries-289.pdf


Pension Participations and Health-Related Behaviors: Evidence from Mongolia

Tomoaki Tanaka1,2,3

1Queen Mary University of London, UK; 2The University of Tokyo, UK; 3Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), Japan

Public pension coverage has been expanding worldwide in response to the challenges of an aging society, potentially influencing health-related decisions. Leveraging Mongolia's pension policy, which expanded voluntary participation differently across birth cohorts, this study examines the effects of pension participation on the health-related behaviors of informal workers. Using a difference-in-differences approach with nationally representative survey data, I find causal evidence that pension participation reduces tobacco consumption, indicating a behavioral shift toward healthier living. This study contributes to the literature on the effects of social protection in developing countries, asymmetric information in insurance markets, and tobacco control policies.

Tanaka-Pension Participations and Health-Related Behaviors-145.pdf


Public Pension Reforms and Disability Benefit Uptake – Evidence from the UK’s Early Retirement Age Increase

Jonathan Cribb, Heidi Karjalainen

Institute for Fiscal Studies, United Kingdom

This paper examines how the gradual increase in the early retirement age (ERA) for women from 60 to 65 affected working-age disability benefit claims and receipt in England and Wales. This reform allows us to isolate how changes in public pension eligibility directly affect disability insurance claims and receipt, in the absence of any changes to the age of eligibility for disability insurance. We find that increasing the ERA is associated with a large and significant increase in new claims for disability insurance (37% of the baseline level of claims). Smaller increase in disability insurance claims are also found for cohorts of men who, although they face no change in their ERA, see large reductions to the generosity of the means-tested welfare system that occur alongside the increase in the ERA for women. Our findings underscore the interplay between rising ERA and alternative forms of social security.

Cribb-Public Pension Reforms and Disability Benefit Uptake – Evidence-401.pdf