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Session Overview
Session
A05: Public Infrastructure
Time:
Wednesday, 20/Aug/2025:
11:00am - 1:00pm

Session Chair: Rafael Serrano-Quintero, University of Barcelona
Discussant 1: Atrayee Choudhury, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy
Discussant 2: Divya Kannan K R, Gulati Institute of Finance and Taxation
Discussant 3: Rafael Serrano-Quintero, University of Barcelona
Discussant 4: Vincent Leyaro, University of Dar es Salaam

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Presentations

Public Infrastructure, Private Capital Formation and Growth in Tanzania

Vincent Leyaro

University of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania

This study investigates the impact of public investment in infrastructure into private capital formation and economic growth in Tanzania using time series data over thirty years’ period (1990-2020) and applying vector autoregressive (VAR) model. The findings show that increasing public investment in infrastructure negatively affects private capital formation in the short run due to the dominance of the crowding-out effect. However, the effect turns positive and significant in the medium term due to the dominance of crowding-in effect; but are short-lived as they die in the long term. The impact of increased public capital stock in infrastructure on private capital stock is positive, implying both private capital formation and private capital stock positively affect real GDP growth, implying crowding-in effects of public capital stock in infrastructure, and the complementarity effect between the two. The low magnitude and short-lived effects are reflective of the unfavorable environment for private investment in Tanzania.

Leyaro-Public Infrastructure, Private Capital Formation and Growth-320.pdf


Public Sector Infrastructure and Private Corporate Investment: An Empirical Analysis of the “Crowding –in” effects of fiscal policy in India

Venkat Hariharan Asha1, Ajay Ojha1, Lekha Chakraborty2

1Ministry of Finance, Govt of India; 2NIPFP, India

The paper examines the link between public infrastructure investment and the private corporate investment links in India for the post pandemic period. Using the high frequency data, the paper analyses the empirical links for the differential impacts of public infrastructure and non-infrastructure innovations on private corporate sector. The results of ARDL models reinforced that there is no crowding out effects in India. The macroeconomic variables including cost of credit – both long term and the short-term rates of interest - and the output gap have been as significant as public investment – in particular public infrastructure investment – in determining private corporate investment in the medium and long terms, which has crucial policy implications.

Hariharan Asha-Public Sector Infrastructure and Private Corporate Investment-308.pdf


Can Public Infrastructure drive Regional Manufacturing Performance? Evidence from Indian States

Divya Kannan K R1, Kiran Kumar Kakarlapudi2

1Gulati Institute of Finance and Taxation affiliated to Cochin University of Science and Technology, India; 2Gulati Institute of Finance and Taxation affiliated to Cochin University of Science and Technology, India

In India, there is significant divergence in industrial performance across states, especially after the economic reforms. In this context, this study analyses manufacturing performance at the sub-national level and the role of the state therein. The changing role of the state is particularly important considering the policy shift towards a market-led economy. This study focuses on the role of public infrastructure in explaining the divergence in manufacturing performance.

Public infrastructure is a multidimensional concept, and we constructed three sub-indices physical, social, and financial infrastructure to measure its impact on manufacturing performance. The study considers only the registered manufacturing sector and 16 major states in India due to their significant contribution to manufacturing value added. Panel regression techniques were used for the econometric analysis, highlighting significant disparities in both physical and social infrastructure across states. The study found that regional disparities in infrastructure availability are a major determinant of manufacturing disparity across Indian states.

K R-Can Public Infrastructure drive Regional Manufacturing Performance Evidence-357.pdf


Spatial Misallocation of Complementary Infrastructure Investment: Evidence from Brazil

Fidel Pérez-Sebastián1, Rafael Serrano-Quintero2, Jevgenijs Steinbuks3

1University of Alicante, Spain; 2University of Barcelona, Spain; 3The World Bank

We develop a novel quantitative spatial equilibrium model that endogenizes the government’s decision to invest in transport and electricity networks. Electricity quality influences local sectoral productivities, while road quality affects trade costs. We show that network complementarities in general equilibrium are primarily shaped by trade routes and the elasticity of substitution between consumption products. Our calibrated model for the Brazilian economy indicates significant welfare gains from reallocating infrastructure investment, with spatial complementarities in heterogeneous infrastructure provision ac-

counting for a substantial portion of these gains. Our results demonstrate that lack of coordination and budget sharing between different line ministries are important sources of misallocation.

Pérez-Sebastián-Spatial Misallocation of Complementary Infrastructure Investment-102.pdf


 
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