The clean energy transition and large-scale deindustrialization have caused major changes
in the industrial landscape of many high-income economies. This paper investigates
how closures of large industrial facilities in Germany affect surrounding communities.
By exploiting quasi-random variation in the timing of facility shutdowns, I analyze the
neighborhood-level effects of these closures using data at the 1km x 1km grid cell level.
I find that shutdowns of industrial sites lead to significant improvements in environmental
amenities as represented by air quality. These environmental benefits, however, do
not capitalize into increasing housing prices. Instead, housing values fall by up to 5%
following facility shutdowns – a result that contrasts with existing evidence for the US
context. Neighborhoods affected by industrial closures also experience substantial local
downturns with average household income dropping by 4% in the most affected neighborhoods.
The resulting total annual income loss attributable to facility shutdowns amounts
to e0.7 - e1.9 billion. Using a simplified model of neighborhood choice, I further show
that neighborhoods surrounding a closed industrial site become less amenable over time.
These findings have important implications for place-based policies in the context of significant
structural change. Additionally, using the newly assembled granular data, I show
that there exists significant inequality in the exposure to fine particulate matter across the
income distribution in Germany.