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Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 10th Sept 2026, 07:07:46pm CEST (Norway)

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Daily Overview

Session

Forests, land use, and economic development
Location: Auditorium C: Thore Johnsen
Session Chair: Manuel Linsenmeier, Princeton University

Presentation 4

Deforestation and structural change: The case of tourism in Brazil

Manuel Linsenmeier

Princeton University, United States of America

Discussant: Catalina Posada Borrero (Center for Environmenat Economics - Montpellier)

Deforestation in the tropics is a major driver of climate change. This paper studies the role of local structural change for reducing deforestation in developing countries and emerging economies. The paper focuses on tourism in Brazil as a case study. The paper combines an empirical econometric analysis with a quantitative spatial model, utilizing a granular and rich dataset that includes satellite imagery, individual-level census micro-data, establishment-level tourism data, and administrative social insurance data, among other sources. Our findings indicate that domestic and international tourism in Brazil substantially increased employment in tourism-related industries but lowered local wages, with its employment effects spilling over into other industries and nearby locations. Furthermore, simulations with our calibrated model suggest that tourism-related traded services reduced deforestation by providing local employment opportunities outside agriculture, including in the Amazon region. Overall, our results suggest that tourism helps to preserve natural land equivalent to the total deforested area over the last 20 years, illustrating the potential environmental benefits of local structural change.