Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 10th Sept 2026, 07:07:45pm CEST (Norway)
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Daily Overview |
| Session | |
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Water economics Location: Auditorium P: Finn Kydland Session Chair: Benjamin Edelstein, University of Pennsylvania | |
| Presentation 3 | |
Quickest Detection of Ecological Regimes for Natural Resource Management (EAERE Award for Outstanding Publication in ERE - Commended paper) University of Exeter, United Kingdom We study the stochastic dynamics of natural resources under the threat of ecological regime shifts. We establish a Pareto optimal framework of regime shift detection under uncertainty that minimizes the delay with which economic agents become aware of the shift. We integrate ecosystem surveillance in the formation of optimal resource extraction policies. We fully solve the case of a profit-maximizing monopolist, study its response to regime shift detection and show the generality of our framework by extending our results to other decision makers and functional forms. We apply our framework to the case of the Cantareira water reservoir in São Paulo, Brazil, and study the events that led to its depletion and the consequent water supply crisis. | |
