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Conference Agenda

Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).

Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 10th Sept 2026, 07:05:10pm CEST (Norway)

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Daily Overview

Session

Socio-economic impacts of the energy transition
Location: Auditorium N: Agnar Sandmo
Session Chair: Guglielmo Zappalà, UC Berkeley

Presentation 4

Climate-induced migration and environmental values

Guglielmo Zappalà

UC Berkeley, United States of America

Discussant: Elisabeth Thuestad Isaksen (Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research)

Climate awareness is crucial for gaining public support for climate policies. Previous studies show socio-political factors and personal experience of weather shocks as the main drivers of climate attitudes. This paper introduces and empirically tests for international migration induced by weather variations as a novel determinant of climate concern in host countries. I leverage exogenous weather variation in non-OECD countries to construct a gravity-predicted instrument for asylum demands. Using an instrumental variable approach, I find a strong positive effect of weather-induced asylum applications on individual climate concern in European Union countries between 2000 and 2019. Using Google search data, I rule out that news and media coverage are confounding the effect of weather-induced asylum demands. The documented changes in stated preferences, however, do not translate into changes in voting behavior. Using electoral outcomes, I find no effect of weather-induced asylum applications on Green votes in the European Parliament elections. These findings are consistent with three mechanisms that I document, including a drop-out of traditional Green voters, changes in preferences among individuals below the voting age, as well as no changes in the pro-environmental agenda of political parties.