Conference Agenda
Overview and details of the sessions of this conference. Please select a date or location to show only sessions at that day or location. Please select a single session for detailed view (with abstracts and downloads if available).
Please note that all times are shown in the time zone of the conference. The current conference time is: 10th Sept 2026, 07:07:44pm CEST (Norway)
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Daily Overview |
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Trade, carbon emissions, and climate impacts Location: Lab 2 Session Chair: Romain Fillon, Université Paris-Saclay, France | |
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Estimating the Effects of Local Shocks when Regions Trade: A Structural Approach with Application to Climate Change 1: CREST - ENSAE; 2: CREST - CNRS; 3: Georgetown University; 4: PSE - CNRS This paper presents a method for estimating treatment effects of local cost shocks when regions trade with each other. Because of spillovers induced by trade flows, comparing the evolution of outcomes between pre-shock and post-shock periods in regions exposed versus unexposed to local shocks leads to a biased estimate of treatment effect. We model these across-region dependencies using standard assumptions from international trade theory. We use our model-consistent estimation strategy to revisit the literature on the evaluation of impacts from climate change onto country-level gross output using year-to-year variation in temperature and precipitation. | |